← all matches · 1win Private Club 1 · September 25, 2026

Alliance vs SINNERS

Alliance
1
BO3
SINNERS
2

SINNERS beat Alliance 2–1 at 1win Private Club 1 on September 25, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Alliance SINNERS Winner
1 Dust2 7 13 SINNERS
2 Inferno 13 9 Alliance
3 Ancient 5 13 SINNERS

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Alliance the favourite here, giving SINNERS a 37% chance going in. The upset moved SINNERS's rating +14 points to 1,440 as it stood that day.

The two had met 1 time before this, with SINNERS ahead on 1–0 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–0.

SINNERS came into the series having won 0 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Alliance Elo after
1,500
-15 from this match
SINNERS Elo after
1,440
+14 from this match
Model call going in
63%
Alliance to win

Head to head before this match

Alliance 0–1 SINNERS across 1 meeting.

DateEventResult
Feb 10, 2026 Intel Extreme Masters Atlanta 2026: Global Qualifier Alliance 0–2 SINNERS

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAllianceSINNERS
Dust2 2–2 6–3
Inferno 8–3 1–4
Ancient 6–3 1–8

Form going in

Alliance

L vs MIBR Sep 11
W vs magic Sep 10
W vs TYLOO Sep 10
L vs Legacy Sep 9
W vs FaZe Sep 8

SINNERS

L vs FUT Jul 23
L vs FaZe Jul 3
L vs 9z Jul 2
L vs BetBoom Jul 1
L vs TYLOO Jun 3

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.