← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 · March 7, 2026

The MongolZ vs Aurora

The MongolZ
2
BO3
Aurora
0

The MongolZ beat Aurora 2–0 at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 on March 7, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map The MongolZ Aurora Winner
1 Dust2 13 9 The MongolZ
2 Mirage 13 11 The MongolZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model had this one as close to even — neither side carried enough of a rating edge to be called the favourite. The result moved The MongolZ's rating +16 points to 1,644 as it stood that day.

The two had met 5 times before this, with The MongolZ ahead on 4–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 5–1.

The MongolZ came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

The MongolZ Elo after
1,644
+16 from this match
Aurora Elo after
1,596
-17 from this match
Model call going in
52%
The MongolZ to win

Head to head before this match

The MongolZ 4–1 Aurora across 5 meetings.

DateEventResult
Oct 19, 2025 Thunderpick World Championship 2025 Aurora 1–2 The MongolZ
Aug 24, 2025 Esports World Cup 2025 The MongolZ 3–0 Aurora
Aug 14, 2025 BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 The MongolZ 2–0 Aurora
May 23, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 The MongolZ 2–0 Aurora
May 16, 2025 PGL Astana 2025 The MongolZ 0–2 Aurora

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapThe MongolZAurora
Dust2 22–20 23–15
Mirage 45–24 21–22

Form going in

The MongolZ

W vs paiN Mar 6
L vs MOUZ Feb 22
L vs Vitality Feb 21
W vs FURIA Feb 20
W vs Natus Vincere Feb 17

Aurora

W vs Legacy Mar 6
L vs Vitality Feb 20
W vs Astralis Feb 18
W vs B8 Feb 17
L vs Natus Vincere Feb 16

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.