← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 2026 · February 1, 2026

Falcons vs Aurora

Falcons
1
BO3
Aurora
2

Aurora beat Falcons 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 2026 on February 1, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Falcons Aurora Winner
1 Anubis 7 13 Aurora
2 Mirage 13 10 Falcons
3 Inferno 8 13 Aurora

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Falcons the favourite here, giving Aurora a 30% chance going in. The upset moved Aurora's rating +17 points to 1,589 as it stood that day.

The two had met 1 time before this, with Aurora ahead on 1–0 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–0.

Aurora came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Falcons Elo after
1,706
-16 from this match
Aurora Elo after
1,589
+17 from this match
Model call going in
70%
Falcons to win

Head to head before this match

Falcons 0–1 Aurora across 1 meeting.

DateEventResult
Aug 23, 2025 Esports World Cup 2025 Falcons 0–2 Aurora

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapFalconsAurora
Anubis 1–5 8–5
Mirage 23–14 19–19
Inferno 17–22 10–13

Form going in

Falcons

L vs PARIVISION Jan 25
W vs Vitality Jan 24
W vs Liquid Jan 22
W vs Monte Jan 17
W vs ECSTATIC Jan 15

Aurora

W vs paiN Jan 30
L vs PARIVISION Jan 29
W vs GamerLegion Jan 28
L vs GamerLegion Jan 17
W vs HOTU Jan 13

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.