← all matches · BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 · January 24, 2026

Falcons vs Vitality

Falcons
2
BO3
Vitality
1

Falcons beat Vitality 2–1 at BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 on January 24, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Falcons Vitality Winner
1 Inferno 13 10 Falcons
2 Anubis 4 13 Vitality
3 Mirage 13 6 Falcons

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Vitality the favourite here, giving Falcons a 38% chance going in. The upset moved Falcons's rating +14 points to 1,758 as it stood that day.

The two had met 7 times before this, with Falcons ahead on 2–5 — so this result took the head-to-head to 3–5.

Falcons came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Falcons Elo after
1,758
+14 from this match
Vitality Elo after
1,811
-14 from this match
Model call going in
38%
Falcons to win

Head to head before this match

Falcons 2–5 Vitality across 7 meetings.

DateEventResult
Nov 15, 2025 BLAST Rivals Fall 2025 Falcons 2–0 Vitality
Oct 12, 2025 ESL Pro League Season 22 Vitality 3–0 Falcons
Aug 24, 2025 Esports World Cup 2025 Vitality 1–2 Falcons
May 24, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Vitality 2–1 Falcons
May 4, 2025 BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 Falcons 2–3 Vitality

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapFalconsVitality
Inferno 16–21 41–11
Anubis 1–4 9–9
Mirage 22–13 33–16

Form going in

Falcons

W vs Liquid Jan 22
W vs Monte Jan 17
W vs ECSTATIC Jan 15
L vs Spirit Dec 11
W vs G2 Dec 7

Vitality

W vs GamerLegion Jan 23
W vs EYEBALLERS Jan 18
W vs Virtus.pro Jan 14
W vs FaZe Dec 14
W vs Spirit Dec 13

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.