← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu 2025 · November 4, 2025

HEROIC vs Natus Vincere

HEROIC
2
BO3
Natus Vincere
1

HEROIC beat Natus Vincere 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu 2025 on November 4, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map HEROIC Natus Vincere Winner
1 Nuke 8 13 Natus Vincere
2 Ancient 13 8 HEROIC
3 Inferno 13 8 HEROIC

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Natus Vincere the favourite here, giving HEROIC a 35% chance going in. The upset moved HEROIC's rating +15 points to 1,543 as it stood that day.

The two had met 2 times before this, with HEROIC ahead on 1–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–1.

HEROIC came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

HEROIC Elo after
1,543
+15 from this match
Natus Vincere Elo after
1,618
-15 from this match
Model call going in
35%
HEROIC to win

Head to head before this match

HEROIC 1–1 Natus Vincere across 2 meetings.

DateEventResult
Dec 8, 2024 Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 HEROIC 2–1 Natus Vincere
Oct 12, 2024 Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 HEROIC 1–2 Natus Vincere

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapHEROICNatus Vincere
Nuke 13–17 15–17
Ancient 25–20 21–15
Inferno 3–2 24–15

Form going in

HEROIC

L vs The MongolZ Nov 3
L vs GamerLegion Oct 31
W vs Aurora Oct 28
W vs BetBoom Oct 27
W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Oct 26

Natus Vincere

L vs Astralis Nov 3
L vs FURIA Oct 19
W vs The MongolZ Oct 18
W vs Aurora Oct 16
W vs Imperial Oct 15

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.