← all matches · PGL Astana 2025 · May 18, 2025

Astralis vs Spirit

Astralis
1
BO5
Spirit
3

Spirit beat Astralis 3–1 at PGL Astana 2025 on May 18, 2025 in a BO5 series.

Maps

# Map Astralis Spirit Winner
1 Dust2 5 13 Spirit
2 Nuke 10 13 Spirit
3 Mirage 13 5 Astralis
4 Train 13 16 Spirit

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Spirit at 76% going in, and the result moved their rating +8 points to 1,737 as it stood that day.

The two had met 4 times before this, with Spirit ahead on 4–0 — so this result took the head-to-head to 5–0.

Spirit came into the series having won 5 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Astralis Elo after
1,522
-7 from this match
Spirit Elo after
1,737
+8 from this match
Model call going in
24%
Astralis to win

Head to head before this match

Astralis 0–4 Spirit across 4 meetings.

DateEventResult
May 12, 2025 PGL Astana 2025 Astralis 0–2 Spirit
Feb 2, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2025 Spirit 2–0 Astralis
Nov 2, 2024 BLAST Premier: World Final 2024 Astralis 1–2 Spirit
Sep 26, 2024 BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024 Astralis 1–2 Spirit

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAstralisSpirit
Dust2 4–12 26–6
Nuke 13–7 16–8
Mirage 7–17 15–9
Train 4–3 5–1

Form going in

Astralis

W vs Aurora May 17
W vs Natus Vincere May 16
W vs Virtus.pro May 13
L vs Spirit May 12
W vs paiN May 11

Spirit

W vs FURIA May 17
W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 16
W vs Astralis May 12
W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 11
W vs GamerLegion May 10

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.