← all matches · BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier · July 21, 2026

Alliance vs Wildcard

Alliance
0
BO3
Wildcard
2

Wildcard beat Alliance 2–0 at BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier on July 21, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Alliance Wildcard Winner
1 Inferno 3 13 Wildcard
2 Dust2

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Alliance the favourite here, giving Wildcard a 30% chance going in. The upset moved Wildcard's rating +26 points to 1,389 as it stood that day.

Wildcard came into the series having won 1 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Alliance Elo after
1,482
-27 from this match
Wildcard Elo after
1,389
+26 from this match
Model call going in
70%
Alliance to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAllianceWildcard
Inferno 6–0 11–10
Dust2 2–1 2–12

Form going in

Alliance

L vs 9z Jul 11
W vs Nemesis Jul 9
W vs 9z Jul 4
W vs B8 Jul 3
W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 2

Wildcard

L vs K27 Jul 16
L vs Gentle Mates Jul 15
L vs PARIVISION Apr 8
L vs The MongolZ Apr 7
W vs FOKUS Apr 6

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.