← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2026 · April 15, 2026

Vitality vs Falcons

Vitality
1
BO3
Falcons
2

Falcons beat Vitality 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2026 on April 15, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Vitality Falcons Winner
1 Mirage 10 13 Falcons
2 Dust2 13 6 Vitality
3 Nuke 14 16 Falcons

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Vitality the favourite here, giving Falcons a 24% chance going in. The upset moved Falcons's rating +19 points to 1,742 as it stood that day.

The two had met 8 times before this, with Falcons ahead on 3–5 — so this result took the head-to-head to 4–5.

Falcons came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Vitality Elo after
1,908
-19 from this match
Falcons Elo after
1,742
+19 from this match
Model call going in
76%
Vitality to win

Head to head before this match

Vitality 5–3 Falcons across 8 meetings.

DateEventResult
Jan 24, 2026 BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 Falcons 2–1 Vitality
Nov 15, 2025 BLAST Rivals Fall 2025 Falcons 2–0 Vitality
Oct 12, 2025 ESL Pro League Season 22 Vitality 3–0 Falcons
Aug 24, 2025 Esports World Cup 2025 Vitality 1–2 Falcons
May 24, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Vitality 2–1 Falcons

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapVitalityFalcons
Mirage 37–20 29–16
Dust2 46–6 26–22
Nuke 38–13 26–18

Form going in

Vitality

W vs G2 Apr 14
W vs RED Canids Apr 13
W vs Natus Vincere Mar 29
W vs Aurora Mar 28
W vs PARIVISION Mar 23

Falcons

W vs Spirit Apr 14
W vs 3DMAX Apr 13
L vs PARIVISION Mar 27
W vs FURIA Mar 23
W vs TYLOO Mar 22

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.