← all matches · BLAST Open Spring 2026 · March 27, 2026

Aurora vs The MongolZ

Aurora
2
BO3
The MongolZ
0

Aurora beat The MongolZ 2–0 at BLAST Open Spring 2026 on March 27, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Aurora The MongolZ Winner
1 Inferno 13 6 Aurora
2 Mirage 13 9 Aurora

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made The MongolZ the favourite here, giving Aurora a 46% chance going in. The upset moved Aurora's rating +19 points to 1,661 as it stood that day.

The two had met 6 times before this, with Aurora ahead on 1–5 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–5.

Aurora came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Aurora Elo after
1,661
+19 from this match
The MongolZ Elo after
1,653
-19 from this match
Model call going in
46%
Aurora to win

Head to head before this match

Aurora 1–5 The MongolZ across 6 meetings.

DateEventResult
Mar 7, 2026 ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 The MongolZ 2–0 Aurora
Oct 19, 2025 Thunderpick World Championship 2025 Aurora 1–2 The MongolZ
Aug 24, 2025 Esports World Cup 2025 The MongolZ 3–0 Aurora
Aug 14, 2025 BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 The MongolZ 2–0 Aurora
May 23, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 The MongolZ 2–0 Aurora

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAuroraThe MongolZ
Inferno 17–15 24–20
Mirage 22–24 47–26

Form going in

Aurora

L vs Natus Vincere Mar 23
W vs FURIA Mar 20
W vs FaZe Mar 18
L vs Natus Vincere Mar 15
W vs Astralis Mar 14

The MongolZ

W vs Spirit Mar 23
W vs Liquid Mar 22
L vs Vitality Mar 21
W vs MOUZ Mar 19
L vs Natus Vincere Mar 13

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.