← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu 2025 · November 3, 2025

Astralis vs Natus Vincere

Astralis
2
BO3
Natus Vincere
1

Astralis beat Natus Vincere 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu 2025 on November 3, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Astralis Natus Vincere Winner
1 Nuke 16 13 Astralis
2 Mirage 10 13 Natus Vincere
3 Inferno 16 12 Astralis

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Natus Vincere the favourite here, giving Astralis a 28% chance going in. The upset moved Astralis's rating +18 points to 1,506 as it stood that day.

The two had met 4 times before this, with Astralis ahead on 3–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 4–1.

Astralis came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Astralis Elo after
1,506
+18 from this match
Natus Vincere Elo after
1,633
-17 from this match
Model call going in
28%
Astralis to win

Head to head before this match

Astralis 3–1 Natus Vincere across 4 meetings.

DateEventResult
Aug 9, 2025 BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier Astralis 2–1 Natus Vincere
May 16, 2025 PGL Astana 2025 Natus Vincere 1–2 Astralis
Jan 18, 2025 BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier Natus Vincere 2–0 Astralis
Oct 30, 2024 BLAST Premier: World Final 2024 Natus Vincere 0–2 Astralis

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAstralisNatus Vincere
Nuke 27–16 15–16
Mirage 14–23 26–16
Inferno 22–19 24–14

Form going in

Astralis

L vs Aurora Oct 30
W vs 3DMAX Oct 29
L vs Legacy Oct 28
W vs MIBR Oct 27
L vs B8 Oct 26

Natus Vincere

L vs FURIA Oct 19
W vs The MongolZ Oct 18
W vs Aurora Oct 16
W vs Imperial Oct 15
L vs MOUZ Oct 10

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.