← Race to the Major

FarmVille

Americas #37
2 stage 31 stage 26 stage 1
BeaKie · calamity · Signal
Outside the profile on six of seven. Below it on bounty offered, bounty collected, opponent network, LAN wins, activity and win rate.Band is the other 9 Americas sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on five of seven since the 7 September release. Dashed is FarmVille's own profile on 7 Sep · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered21 Bounty collected19 Opponent network25 LAN wins9 Activity21 Win rate16 Head to head75
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among each region's top 40
<1%
Chance of a place
at the Major
FarmVille are 37th, 28 places outside the 9, 560 points behind Imperial
Chance of the Major · Our simulation to the 2 Nov cut
Americas standing
37th
  1. 35UNO MILLE
  2. 36Chicken Coop
  3. 37FarmVille
  4. 38MIBR fe
  5. 39DETONATE
28 places outside the Major
VRS points
737
World #191 · 560 behind Imperial
Since April
38th to 37th
Valve's standings
// Act one

The verdict

Americas has 9 slots: the top 2 go straight to Stage 3; 3rd place enters at Stage 2; 4th to 9th start in Stage 1. FarmVille are 37th, 28 places outside.

<1% FarmVille are 37th, 28 places outside the 9, 560 points behind Imperial Chance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 5 Oct 2026

Who they are racing

Americas · 9 slots
CutTeamTodayMajor
1FURIA1 · 1–22, 1 place up at the cut>99
2Legacy2 · 1–21, 1 place down at the cut>99
Stage 3 line
39z3 · 3–64, 1 place up at the cut>99
Stage 2 line
4MIBR4 · 3–53, 1 place down at the cut>99
5Liquid5 · 3–65>99
6M806 · 4–66>99
7Imperial8 · 7–109, 2 places up at the cut82
8NRG8 · 7–10880
9DENDELE8 · 7–107, 2 places down at the cut80
The cut · top 9 go
10Fluxo10 · 8–1211, 1 place up at the cut41
11paiN12 · 10–1410, 1 place down at the cut7
12Voca12 · 10–1515, 3 places up at the cut5
13Wildcard13 · 10–1612, 1 place down at the cut4
14BESTIA14 · 11–16142
15SportsBetExpert14 · 12–1613, 2 places down at the cut<1
16FarmVille44 · 34–5037, 21 places up at the cut<1

In the order of their chance of the Major, our simulation's, as Race to the Major orders them; beside each, its median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs put it in. Today is Valve's standing, and the arrow how far the order by chance moves them.

TodayValve's Regional Standings, 5 Oct
1Legacy1,931
2FURIA1,829
3MIBR1,585
49z1,544
5Liquid1,527
6M801,491
7DENDELE1,368
8NRG1,322
9Imperial1,297
10paiN1,287
11Fluxo1,277
12Wildcard1,239
14BESTIA1,189
15Voca1,182
37FarmVille737
At the cutOurs · ordered by chance of the Major · median place and range
2Legacy2 · 1–2>99%
1FURIA1 · 1–2>99%
4MIBR4 · 3–5>99%
39z3 · 3–6>99%
5Liquid5 · 3–6>99%
6M806 · 4–6>99%
9DENDELE8 · 7–1080%
8NRG8 · 7–1080%
7Imperial8 · 7–1082%
11paiN12 · 10–147%
10Fluxo10 · 8–1241%
13Wildcard13 · 10–164%
15SportsBetExpert14 · 12–16<1%
14BESTIA14 · 11–162%
12Voca12 · 10–155%
16FarmVille44 · 34–50<1%
FarmVilleComes up across the cutFalls outThe cut
How these numbers are made
  • Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their chance of the Major, as Race to the Major orders them, with each one's median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs fall in. A club further down Valve's standings is listed when its median place reaches the figure.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.

Their calendar to the cut

Events they are known to play
ESL Challenger League Season 52: North America - Cup 3Oct 8 – Oct 15 · Tier B · Online 0impact
// Act two

How they got here

22 matches in Valve's six-month window, 10 won, across 5 events, every figure Valve's own, from the published standings.

22 Sep – 27 Sep
ESL Challenger League Season 52: North America - Cup 2
The event's page →
Record4–2
Head to head+33.98
Still counts100%
6 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L MarsborneSep 27A loss -7.56
W Overtake SectorSep 26Bounty collected #1Opponent network #1LAN wins #1 +17.80
W Iowa StormboarSep 25Bounty collected #4Opponent network #3LAN wins #2 +19.17
W Unreal NightmareSep 24Bounty collected #6Opponent network #8LAN wins #3 +4.92
L regainSep 23A loss -11.95
W NuToriousSep 22Bounty collected #7Opponent network #5LAN wins #4 +11.60
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected4 / 10 Opponent network4 / 10 LAN wins4 / 10

Their most valuable event. It holds 12 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

3 Sep – 11 Sep
NSTLGA League Season 2
The event's page →
Record3–4
Head to head+9.14
Still counts100%
7 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Overtake SectorSep 11A loss -12.91
L SportsBetExpertSep 10A loss -1.92
W Beyond LimitsSep 6Bounty collected #8Opponent network #7LAN wins #5 +9.59
W VillainousSep 6Bounty collected #5Opponent network #4LAN wins #6 +15.54
L DETONATESep 5A loss -14.49
W regainSep 4Bounty collected #2Opponent network #2LAN wins #7 +19.39
L MarsborneSep 3A loss -6.06
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected3 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins3 / 10

It holds 9 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

25 Aug – 27 Aug
ESL Challenger League Season 52: North America - Cup 1
The event's page →
Record1–2
Head to head-4.88
Still counts94%
3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L ZomblersAug 27A loss -16.74
L VocaAug 26A loss -2.41
W Club 333Aug 25Bounty collected #3Opponent network #6LAN wins #8 +14.27
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

26 Apr – 1 May
Thunderpick World Championship 2026: North American Series
Record1–2
Head to head-2.22
Still counts15%

These results are down to 15% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L WildcardMay 1A loss -0.28
L ex-AetherApr 28A loss -2.54
W OverKnightApr 26Bounty collected #10Opponent network #10LAN wins #10 +0.60
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

27 Apr – 30 Apr
ESL Challenger League Season 51: North America - Cup 4
Record1–2
Head to head-0.76
Still counts15%

These results are down to 15% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L regainApr 30A loss -1.65
L WildcardApr 29A loss -0.26
W Reign AboveApr 27Bounty collected #9Opponent network #9LAN wins #9 +1.15
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

How these numbers are made
  • Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 5 October 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three

What the rating is made of

Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For FarmVille that is 702.1 plus 35.3.

The two parts

Valve's · release 5 Oct 2026
Starting value702.1
+
Head to head+35.3
=
Points737

The head-to-head correction is 4.8% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.

The four factors

Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved. 0.293median 0.517
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved. 0.254median 0.486
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten. 0.057median 0.204
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field. 0.000median 0.674
FarmVilleMedian of the 16 chasing the slots in Americas
The four factors0.293 + 0.254 + 0.057 + 0.000
Their average÷ 4 = 0.151
Stretched onto 400–2,000400 + 0.151 ÷ 0.800 × 1,600 = 702.0
  • 0.800 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
  • Valve ranked 380 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
  • Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
  • Valve's file prints 702.1; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.

FarmVille: Below the median of the 16 chasing the slots on all four factors.

How good are they

Ours · not part of Valve's rating
Our Elo, per map1,414
Rank by our Elo192 of 550
Valve's world standing191

Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →

The last 22 matches Valve counted · oldest first
W W L L L L W L L L W L W W L L W L W W W L
Every match by opponent strength

None of the 22 matches was against a side in the world's top 30.

How these numbers are made
  • Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
  • In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.