Americas has 9 slots: the top 2 go straight to Stage 3; 3rd place enters at Stage 2; 4th to 9th start in Stage 1. MIBR fe are 33rd, 24 places outside.
<1%MIBR fe are 33rd, 24 places outside the 9, 409 points behind NRGChance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026
Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Their most valuable event. It holds 6 of the 6 slots that count, more than any other.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 6 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
12 May – 16 May
BetBoom Storm 3
Record0–3
Head to head-22.55
Still counts44%
These results are down to 44% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -22.55.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 6 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
8 May
CCT South America 2026 Series 1
Record0–1
Head to head-5.30
Still counts39%
These results are down to 39% of their original weight.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -5.30.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 6 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
How these numbers are made
Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three
What the rating is made of
Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For MIBR fe that is 769.4 minus 11.2.
The two parts
Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value769.4
+
Head to head−11.2
=
Points758
The head-to-head correction is 1.5% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.
The four factors
Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved.0.390median 0.531
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved.0.224median 0.510
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten.0.002median 0.182
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field.0.159median 0.708
MIBR feMedian of the 15 chasing the slots in Americas
0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
Valve's file prints 769.4; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.
MIBR fe: Below the median of the 15 chasing the slots on all four factors.
Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →
The last 6 matches Valve counted · oldest first
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Every match by opponent strength
Shimmer #271 +8.7GUARA #371 −10.8+20+100−10−20#1#5#10#20#50#100#200MIBR fe #166Stronger opponentWeaker opponent
None of the 6 matches was against a side in the world's top 30.
How these numbers are made
Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Yawara
regain
MIBR fe
Fake do Biru
