← Race to the Major

Passion UA

Americas
2 stage 31 stage 26 stage 1
JT · Kvem · nicx · sdy · try
Outside the profile on six of seven. They match it on head to head.Band is the other 9 Americas sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Down on six of seven since the 3 August release. Up on head to head.Dashed is Passion UA's own profile on 3 Aug · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered32 Bounty collected37 Opponent network20 LAN wins40 Activity28 Win rate10 Head to head48
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among the rosters Valve ranks
<1%
Chance of a place
at the Major
Our simulation to the 2 Nov cut
Americas standing
27th
  1. 25Isurus
  2. 26For Fun
  3. 27Passion UA
  4. 28Without a Roof
  5. 29ALKA
18 places outside the Major
VRS points
807
World #149 · 360 behind NRG
Since April
12th to 27th
Valve's standings
// Act one

The verdict

Americas has 9 slots: the top 2 go straight to Stage 3; 3rd place enters at Stage 2; 4th to 9th start in Stage 1. Passion UA are 27th, 18 places outside.

<1% Passion UA are 27th, 18 places outside the 9, 360 points behind NRG Chance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026

Who they are racing

Americas · 9 slots
TodayValve's Regional Standings, 7 Sep
1Legacy1,783
2FURIA1,754
39z1,606
4Liquid1,465
5MIBR1,408
6DENDELE1,301
7M801,270
8paiN1,268
9NRG1,167
10Wildcard1,135
11Imperial1,085
12SportsBetExpert1,075
13Fluxo1,065
14Galorys1,006
27Passion UA807
At the cutOurs · ordered by median place · range · chance of the Major
1Legacy1–2>99%
2FURIA1–2>99%
39z3–5>99%
5Liquid3–6>99%
4MIBR4–5>99%
9DENDELE7–1254%
6M804–6>99%
11paiN8–1420%
7NRG7–1271%
12Wildcard8–1620%
8Imperial7–1261%
13SportsBetExpert8–1719%
10Fluxo9–1518%
14Galorys13–18<1%
15Passion UA26–unranked<1%
Passion UAComes up across the cutFalls outThe cut

Imperial comes up into the 9, paiN falls out.

How these numbers are made
  • Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.

Their calendar to the cut

Events they are known to play

No event before the cut where they are known to play.

Our model also expects them at 1 more event before the cut.

// Act two

How they got here

26 matches in Valve's six-month window, 10 won, across 8 events. Every figure below is Valve's own, taken from the published standings.

21 May
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–4
Head to head-22.12
Still counts47%

These results are down to 47% of their original weight.

4 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L BetclicMay 21A loss -7.87
L OGMay 21A loss -3.89
L RBLSMay 21A loss -7.36
L MetizportMay 21A loss -3.00
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -22.12.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

11 May – 12 May
Intel Extreme Masters Atlanta 2026
Record0–2
Head to head-2.58
Still counts41%

These results are down to 41% of their original weight.

2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L SINNERSMay 12A loss -2.39
L Natus VincereMay 11A loss -0.19
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -2.58.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

30 Apr
Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier
Record0–1
Head to head-1.18
Still counts33%

These results are down to 33% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L FOKUSApr 30A loss -1.18
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -1.18.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

25 Apr – 26 Apr
FRAG 20
Record4–2
Head to head+8.67
Still counts31%

These results are down to 31% of their original weight.

6 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W MarsborneApr 26Bounty collected #4Opponent network #1LAN wins #1 +5.42
L WildcardApr 26A loss -1.69
W NRGApr 25Bounty collected #2Opponent network #2LAN wins #2 +8.21
W NuToriousApr 25Bounty collected #7Opponent network #7LAN wins #3 +0.91
L Fisher CollegeApr 25A loss -4.98
W CelestialApr 25Bounty collected #8Opponent network #10LAN wins #4 +0.80
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected4 / 10 Opponent network4 / 10 LAN wins4 / 10

Their most valuable event. It holds 12 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

13 Apr – 14 Apr
Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2026
Record0–2
Head to head-0.20
Still counts23%

These results are down to 23% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L B8Apr 14A loss -0.17
L FURIAApr 13A loss -0.03
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -0.20.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

4 Apr – 5 Apr
Urban Riga Open 4
Record3–1
Head to head+4.97
Still counts17%

These results are down to 17% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

4 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L SangalApr 5A loss -3.42
W BESTIAApr 5Bounty collected #5Opponent network #5LAN wins #5 +3.48
W ASTRALApr 4Bounty collected #6Opponent network #3LAN wins #6 +4.42
W PUREApr 4Bounty collected #9Opponent network #8LAN wins #7 +0.49
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected3 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins3 / 10

It holds 9 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

30 Mar – 1 Apr
DraculaN Season 6
Record3–2
Head to head+8.54
Still counts14%

These results are down to 14% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L AllianceApr 1A loss -0.15
W SashiApr 1Bounty collected #3Opponent network #4LAN wins #8 +3.97
L LuminosityMar 31A loss -0.43
W FaZeMar 31Bounty collected #1Opponent network #6LAN wins #9 +4.07
W Eternal FireMar 30Bounty collected #10Opponent network #9LAN wins #10 +1.08
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected3 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins3 / 10

It holds 9 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

24 Mar
BC.Game Masters Championship
Record0–2
Head to head-0.85
Still counts9%

These results are down to 9% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L BBLMar 24A loss -0.34
L BASEMENT BOYSMar 24A loss -0.51
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -0.85.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

How these numbers are made
  • Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three

What the rating is made of

Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For Passion UA that is 811.3 minus 4.8.

The two parts

Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value811.3
+
Head to head−4.8
=
Points807

The head-to-head correction is 0.6% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.

The four factors

Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved. 0.326median 0.531
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved. 0.285median 0.510
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten. 0.021median 0.182
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field. 0.233median 0.708
Passion UAMedian of the 15 chasing the slots in Americas
The four factors0.326 + 0.285 + 0.021 + 0.233
Their average÷ 4 = 0.216
Stretched onto 400–2,000400 + 0.216 ÷ 0.841 × 1,600 = 811.4
  • 0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
  • Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
  • Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
  • Valve's file prints 811.3; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.

Passion UA: Below the median of the 15 chasing the slots on all four factors.

How good are they

Ours · not part of Valve's rating

We have no Elo for Passion UA: it ranks clubs with a match in the last 90 days.

The last 26 matches Valve counted · oldest first
L L W W L W L W W W L L L W L W W L W L L L L L L L
Every match by opponent strength

6 of the 26 matches were against sides in the world's top 30, and the largest change in any of them was 7.9 points.

How these numbers are made
  • Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
  • In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.