Outside the profile on three of seven. They match it on opponent network and win rate and beat it on activity and head to head.Band is the other 18 Europe sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on five of seven since the 3 August release. Down on bounty collected and LAN wins.Dashed is Nuclear TigeRES's own profile on 3 Aug · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered66Bounty collected61Opponent network77LAN wins40Activity95Win rate85Head to head99
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among the rosters Valve ranks
Oct 8 · BO3 · 1win Private Club 2: Closed Qualifier
// Act one
The verdict
Europe has 18 slots: the top 6 go straight to Stage 3; 7th to 12th enter at Stage 2; 13th to 18th start in Stage 1. Nuclear TigeRES are 32nd, 14 places outside.
<1%Nuclear TigeRES are 32nd, 14 places outside the 18, 138 points behind HEROICChance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026
Nuclear TigeRESComes up across the cutFalls outThe cut
How these numbers are made
Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
2 Sep – 4 Sep
Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Qualifier
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
24 Aug
Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Open Qualifier
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by +17.01.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
22 Jul – 24 Jul
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: European Qualifier
Record1–2
Head to head-1.73
Still counts90%
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
LBBLJul 24A loss-12.01
W100 ThievesJul 23A win outside the ten best+21.87
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -1.73.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
21 Jul
BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier
Record0–1
Head to head-0.43
Still counts88%
These results are down to 88% of their original weight.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -0.43.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
18 Jul
European Pro League Series 8
Record0–1
Head to head-23.42
Still counts86%
These results are down to 86% of their original weight.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -23.42.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
3 Jun – 17 Jun
NODWIN Clutch Series 9
Record7–0
Head to head+55.01
Still counts65%
These results are down to 65% of their original weight.
7 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
14 Jun
European Pro League Series 7
Record0–1
Head to head-12.67
Still counts63%
These results are down to 63% of their original weight.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -12.67.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
25 May – 28 May
CIS LAN Championship 5
Record4–1
Head to head+16.81
Still counts52%
These results are down to 52% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Their most valuable event. It holds 7 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
9 May – 21 May
NODWIN Clutch Series 8
Record5–2
Head to head+20.00
Still counts47%
These results are down to 47% of their original weight.
7 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
7 May – 10 May
BC.Game Masters Season 2 Europe Series 1
Record2–1
Head to head+6.96
Still counts40%
These results are down to 40% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
14 Apr – 27 Apr
NODWIN Clutch Series 7
Record5–2
Head to head+17.87
Still counts31%
These results are down to 31% of their original weight.
7 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
31 Mar – 2 Apr
NODWIN Clutch Series 6
Record2–1
Head to head-2.18
Still counts14%
These results are down to 14% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -2.18.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
23 Mar
PGL Astana 2026: European Open Qualifier 1
Record1–1
Head to head-0.29
Still counts8%
These results are down to 8% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
2 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
LmagicMar 23A loss-0.40
WBasement BobsMar 23A win outside the ten best+0.11
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -0.29.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
How these numbers are made
Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three
What the rating is made of
Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For Nuclear TigeRES that is 1,062.0 plus 178.7.
The two parts
Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value1,062.0
+
Head to head+178.7
=
Points1,241
The head-to-head correction is 14.4% of the total.
The four factors
Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved.0.505median 0.658
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved.0.400median 0.558
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten.0.259median 0.287
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field.0.227median 0.838
Nuclear TigeRESMedian of the 24 chasing the slots in Europe
0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
Valve's file prints 1,062.0; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.
Nuclear TigeRES: Below the median of the 24 chasing the slots on all four factors.
13 of the 62 matches were against sides in the world's top 30, and the largest change in any of them was 23.0 points.
How these numbers are made
Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
BC.Game
Virtus.pro
Nuclear TigeRES
Luminosity
Nemesis
